"Deep-seated racial misgivings could cost Barack Obama the White House if the election is close", according to an AP-Yahoo News poll conducted with Stanford University.
The survey of 2,227 adults finds that though McCain faces "obstacles" Obama, on the other hand, faces 40% of all white voters who harbour some negative views of Blacks.
Perhaps most troubling for Obama is the finding that among white Democrats and independents more than a third hold a negative view of Blacks.
Obama can't win without the majority support of white Democrats and independents yet the poll finds that those who hold negative views of Blacks are not likely to vote for him.
The poll also found significant racial prejudices among Republicans, however, this is not why they won't vote for Obama. Most Republicans vote against any democratic candidate.
It is significant to note that more whites said positive rather than negative things about Blacks.
Race is also not the most important reason why almost 30% of white Democrats reject Obama. The poll found that many whites have issues with his competency to bring change.
I wonder though if it is even possible to disentangle race from white opinions of Black competency?
Nontheless, 3 out of 10 whites who have issues with Obama's competency have indicated that they will vote for McCain.
According to the poll most Blacks support Obama. It is, however, questionable whether this support will help to offset the negative votes among whites.
It is interesting to note that statistical models drawn from the poll data show that Obama could enjoy as much as 6 more percentage points if his race was not a negative factor for white voters.
Nuff said. There is more than just toast burning in the kitchen.
Hat Tip to the Angryindian for the referring articles.